Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 25 de agosto?
21°C 27%
23°C or higher 22%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
18%
20°C
19%
21°C
27%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
22%
21°C 27%
23°C or higher 22%
20°C 19%
19°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
13°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$40 Vol.
18%
20°C
$22 Vol.
19%
21°C
$47 Vol.
27%
22°C
$256 Vol.
17%
23°C or higher
$136 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$544Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$544Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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