Recent Met Office forecasts project a daytime maximum of 25°C for London on August 25 under mostly settled high-pressure influence, with supporting guidance from BBC and other models pointing to 24–26°C amid variable cloud and light easterly winds. Trader sentiment favoring 22–24°C outcomes reflects the broad ensemble spread in medium-range runs, where small shifts in frontal timing or increased cloud cover could cap readings lower, while clearer skies or stronger insolation would support the upper end. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, yet current conditions show above-normal potential tempered by typical late-summer variability in steering patterns and urban heat effects on official observations. Upcoming model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 25 de agosto?
22°C 29%
24°C 24%
23°C 22%
21°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
16%
22°C
29%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 29%
24°C 24%
23°C 22%
21°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
16%
22°C
29%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts project a daytime maximum of 25°C for London on August 25 under mostly settled high-pressure influence, with supporting guidance from BBC and other models pointing to 24–26°C amid variable cloud and light easterly winds. Trader sentiment favoring 22–24°C outcomes reflects the broad ensemble spread in medium-range runs, where small shifts in frontal timing or increased cloud cover could cap readings lower, while clearer skies or stronger insolation would support the upper end. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, yet current conditions show above-normal potential tempered by typical late-summer variability in steering patterns and urban heat effects on official observations. Upcoming model updates from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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