Recent Met Office guidance projects a minimum nighttime temperature of 17°C for London on August 24 under mostly clear conditions with light southwesterly flow, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 13–14°C. This positioning stems from climatological August baselines near 14°C, where clear-sky radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects at official stations can produce readings 2–4°C below regional forecasts. Traders appear to weigh potential model adjustments or localized cooling overnight ahead of the resolution window, consistent with late-summer variability when high pressure promotes sharper nocturnal drops. Updated ensemble runs and any last-minute observational shifts will likely drive further price movement before the close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 24 de agosto?
14°C 41%
13°C 27%
15°C 13%
12°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
27%
14°C
41%
15°C
13%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
14°C 41%
13°C 27%
15°C 13%
12°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
10°C o menos
$29 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$79 Vol.
2%
12°C
$456 Vol.
8%
13°C
$544 Vol.
27%
14°C
$330 Vol.
41%
15°C
$1,071 Vol.
13%
16°C
$100 Vol.
5%
17°C
$20 Vol.
2%
18°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a minimum nighttime temperature of 17°C for London on August 24 under mostly clear conditions with light southwesterly flow, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 13–14°C. This positioning stems from climatological August baselines near 14°C, where clear-sky radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects at official stations can produce readings 2–4°C below regional forecasts. Traders appear to weigh potential model adjustments or localized cooling overnight ahead of the resolution window, consistent with late-summer variability when high pressure promotes sharper nocturnal drops. Updated ensemble runs and any last-minute observational shifts will likely drive further price movement before the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,726Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a minimum nighttime temperature of 17°C for London on August 24 under mostly clear conditions with light southwesterly flow, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 13–14°C. This positioning stems from climatological August baselines near 14°C, where clear-sky radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects at official stations can produce readings 2–4°C below regional forecasts. Traders appear to weigh potential model adjustments or localized cooling overnight ahead of the resolution window, consistent with late-summer variability when high pressure promotes sharper nocturnal drops. Updated ensemble runs and any last-minute observational shifts will likely drive further price movement before the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,726Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance projects a minimum nighttime temperature of 17°C for London on August 24 under mostly clear conditions with light southwesterly flow, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 13–14°C. This positioning stems from climatological August baselines near 14°C, where clear-sky radiative cooling and urban heat-island effects at official stations can produce readings 2–4°C below regional forecasts. Traders appear to weigh potential model adjustments or localized cooling overnight ahead of the resolution window, consistent with late-summer variability when high pressure promotes sharper nocturnal drops. Updated ensemble runs and any last-minute observational shifts will likely drive further price movement before the close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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