Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 24 de agosto?
22°C 44%
21°C 39%
23°C 9%
20°C 7%
NUEVO
$18,177 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,177 Vol.
24 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
39%
22°C
44%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
21°C 39%
23°C 9%
20°C 7%
NUEVO
$18,177 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,177 Vol.
24 ago 2026
17°C or below
$375 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$817 Vol.
2%
20°C
$1,581 Vol.
7%
21°C
$1,842 Vol.
39%
22°C
$5,009 Vol.
44%
23°C
$1,689 Vol.
9%
24°C
$2,771 Vol.
2%
25°C
$2,580 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$722 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Volumen
$18,177Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,177Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C in London on 24 August under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and modest Atlantic advection that limits further warming. Cloud-cover variability and boundary-layer mixing remain the dominant sources of uncertainty: increased afternoon stratus could cap the peak at 21 °C, while clearer intervals would support the 22 °C outcome that currently commands the highest market-implied probability. These values sit close to the long-term August average, so traders are weighting the narrow spread between model runs rather than any large-scale anomaly. Updated high-resolution guidance later today will refine the cloud and wind fields ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes