Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models positions overnight lows at the Incheon station near 25–26°C for August 26, reflecting a stable warm, humid air mass with minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under cloudy skies and light winds. Climatological data show late-August Incheon minima typically range 22–25°C, but current conditions align with the warmer end of that distribution given the absence of cooler northerly flow. Trader consensus at 55% for 26°C and 34% for 25°C therefore tracks the tight clustering of deterministic and statistical guidance, with lower-probability outcomes priced for potential model shifts or localized variations before the 3–9 a.m. minimum window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 26 de agosto?
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
27°C 7%
24°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
34%
26°C
55%
27°C
7%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
1%
26°C 55%
25°C 34%
27°C 7%
24°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$194 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$79 Vol.
1%
23°C
$120 Vol.
3%
24°C
$202 Vol.
6%
25°C
$89 Vol.
34%
26°C
$1,964 Vol.
55%
27°C
$63 Vol.
7%
28°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$100 Vol.
1%
30°C
$100 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models positions overnight lows at the Incheon station near 25–26°C for August 26, reflecting a stable warm, humid air mass with minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under cloudy skies and light winds. Climatological data show late-August Incheon minima typically range 22–25°C, but current conditions align with the warmer end of that distribution given the absence of cooler northerly flow. Trader consensus at 55% for 26°C and 34% for 25°C therefore tracks the tight clustering of deterministic and statistical guidance, with lower-probability outcomes priced for potential model shifts or localized variations before the 3–9 a.m. minimum window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,125Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models positions overnight lows at the Incheon station near 25–26°C for August 26, reflecting a stable warm, humid air mass with minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under cloudy skies and light winds. Climatological data show late-August Incheon minima typically range 22–25°C, but current conditions align with the warmer end of that distribution given the absence of cooler northerly flow. Trader consensus at 55% for 26°C and 34% for 25°C therefore tracks the tight clustering of deterministic and statistical guidance, with lower-probability outcomes priced for potential model shifts or localized variations before the 3–9 a.m. minimum window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,125Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models positions overnight lows at the Incheon station near 25–26°C for August 26, reflecting a stable warm, humid air mass with minimal nocturnal radiational cooling under cloudy skies and light winds. Climatological data show late-August Incheon minima typically range 22–25°C, but current conditions align with the warmer end of that distribution given the absence of cooler northerly flow. Trader consensus at 55% for 26°C and 34% for 25°C therefore tracks the tight clustering of deterministic and statistical guidance, with lower-probability outcomes priced for potential model shifts or localized variations before the 3–9 a.m. minimum window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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