Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 5 de agosto?
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
26%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
30°C or below
$138 Vol.
1%
31°C
$327 Vol.
5%
32°C
$376 Vol.
22%
33°C
$327 Vol.
42%
34°C
$304 Vol.
26%
35°C
$477 Vol.
9%
36°C
$207 Vol.
2%
37°C
$351 Vol.
2%
38°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$3,108Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,108Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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