Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Incheon and Seoul around 26–28°C for August 5, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible early thunderstorms. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 27°C and 28°C, reflecting elevated baseline temperatures during an active summer heat period where urban heat island effects and high dew points suppress typical August minima near 22–24°C. Recent observations of daytime peaks exceeding 35°C reinforce trader consensus on minimal overnight drops, though updated model runs or shifts in steering patterns could adjust these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 5 de agosto?
27°C 43%
28°C 30%
26°C 18%
29°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
43%
28°C
30%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 30%
26°C 18%
29°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
43%
28°C
30%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Incheon and Seoul around 26–28°C for August 5, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible early thunderstorms. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 27°C and 28°C, reflecting elevated baseline temperatures during an active summer heat period where urban heat island effects and high dew points suppress typical August minima near 22–24°C. Recent observations of daytime peaks exceeding 35°C reinforce trader consensus on minimal overnight drops, though updated model runs or shifts in steering patterns could adjust these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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