Current numerical weather prediction models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a Moscow maximum of 27–29 °C on August 5, 2026, under a pattern of high pressure and limited cloud cover that favors the market’s leading 27 °C outcome (40 % implied probability). Early-August climatology averages 22–24 °C, so the current warmer signal reflects above-normal conditions driven by southerly flow and reduced precipitation chances. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, keeping 26 °C and 28 °C as credible alternatives (20–23 % each) while rendering extremes below 25 °C or above 30 °C low-probability absent a rapid pattern shift. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 4 will refine the final distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 5 de agosto?
27°C 40%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
25°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
23%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
2%
27°C 40%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
25°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$72 Vol.
4%
25°C
$78 Vol.
11%
26°C
$10 Vol.
21%
27°C
$79 Vol.
40%
28°C
$85 Vol.
23%
29°C
$52 Vol.
6%
30°C
$26 Vol.
5%
31°C
$21 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a Moscow maximum of 27–29 °C on August 5, 2026, under a pattern of high pressure and limited cloud cover that favors the market’s leading 27 °C outcome (40 % implied probability). Early-August climatology averages 22–24 °C, so the current warmer signal reflects above-normal conditions driven by southerly flow and reduced precipitation chances. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, keeping 26 °C and 28 °C as credible alternatives (20–23 % each) while rendering extremes below 25 °C or above 30 °C low-probability absent a rapid pattern shift. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 4 will refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$437Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a Moscow maximum of 27–29 °C on August 5, 2026, under a pattern of high pressure and limited cloud cover that favors the market’s leading 27 °C outcome (40 % implied probability). Early-August climatology averages 22–24 °C, so the current warmer signal reflects above-normal conditions driven by southerly flow and reduced precipitation chances. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, keeping 26 °C and 28 °C as credible alternatives (20–23 % each) while rendering extremes below 25 °C or above 30 °C low-probability absent a rapid pattern shift. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 4 will refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$437Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia and international sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a Moscow maximum of 27–29 °C on August 5, 2026, under a pattern of high pressure and limited cloud cover that favors the market’s leading 27 °C outcome (40 % implied probability). Early-August climatology averages 22–24 °C, so the current warmer signal reflects above-normal conditions driven by southerly flow and reduced precipitation chances. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, keeping 26 °C and 28 °C as credible alternatives (20–23 % each) while rendering extremes below 25 °C or above 30 °C low-probability absent a rapid pattern shift. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 4 will refine the final distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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