Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 5 de agosto?
19°C 41%
20°C 37%
18°C 14%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
41%
20°C
37%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
20°C 37%
18°C 14%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
16°C or below
$257 Vol.
1%
17°C
$115 Vol.
3%
18°C
$159 Vol.
14%
19°C
$1,974 Vol.
41%
20°C
$666 Vol.
37%
21°C
$135 Vol.
9%
22°C
$104 Vol.
4%
23°C
$281 Vol.
1%
24°C
$192 Vol.
1%
25°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,135Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,135Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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