Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight cluster of daily maximum temperatures around 32–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and scattered convective showers are moderating peak heating, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C at the official station. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover create the narrow uncertainty band separating 32°C from 33°C or 34°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, along with the next 48-hour guidance cycle, will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 5 de agosto?
33°C 37%
32°C 30%
34°C 19%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
30%
33°C
37%
34°C
19%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 30%
34°C 19%
31°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
27°C or below
$336 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$404 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,399 Vol.
3%
30°C
$355 Vol.
4%
31°C
$481 Vol.
12%
32°C
$523 Vol.
30%
33°C
$635 Vol.
37%
34°C
$579 Vol.
19%
35°C
$2,006 Vol.
3%
36°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight cluster of daily maximum temperatures around 32–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and scattered convective showers are moderating peak heating, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C at the official station. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover create the narrow uncertainty band separating 32°C from 33°C or 34°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, along with the next 48-hour guidance cycle, will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$6,868Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight cluster of daily maximum temperatures around 32–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and scattered convective showers are moderating peak heating, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C at the official station. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover create the narrow uncertainty band separating 32°C from 33°C or 34°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, along with the next 48-hour guidance cycle, will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,868Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight cluster of daily maximum temperatures around 32–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and scattered convective showers are moderating peak heating, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C at the official station. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon cloud cover create the narrow uncertainty band separating 32°C from 33°C or 34°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF, along with the next 48-hour guidance cycle, will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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