Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models highlight a transition toward milder overnight conditions for London on August 5, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses and limited radiational cooling under variable cloud cover following above-average summer temperatures. Official forecasts project a daily minimum near 14°C, yet trader consensus clusters on 17–19°C, reflecting model spread, the warm seasonal anomaly (England running ~2°C above normal), and uncertainty in exact steering patterns or urban heat-island effects that could keep readings elevated. Short-range updates from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 5 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 5 de agosto?
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
17°C 15%
20°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
15%
18°C
49%
19°C
33%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
17°C 15%
20°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 ago 2026
13°C or below
$365 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$528 Vol.
1%
15°C
$421 Vol.
1%
16°C
$239 Vol.
4%
17°C
$490 Vol.
15%
18°C
$1,671 Vol.
49%
19°C
$1,499 Vol.
33%
20°C
$164 Vol.
6%
21°C
$226 Vol.
1%
22°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models highlight a transition toward milder overnight conditions for London on August 5, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses and limited radiational cooling under variable cloud cover following above-average summer temperatures. Official forecasts project a daily minimum near 14°C, yet trader consensus clusters on 17–19°C, reflecting model spread, the warm seasonal anomaly (England running ~2°C above normal), and uncertainty in exact steering patterns or urban heat-island effects that could keep readings elevated. Short-range updates from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$5,974Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models highlight a transition toward milder overnight conditions for London on August 5, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses and limited radiational cooling under variable cloud cover following above-average summer temperatures. Official forecasts project a daily minimum near 14°C, yet trader consensus clusters on 17–19°C, reflecting model spread, the warm seasonal anomaly (England running ~2°C above normal), and uncertainty in exact steering patterns or urban heat-island effects that could keep readings elevated. Short-range updates from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,974Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble models highlight a transition toward milder overnight conditions for London on August 5, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses and limited radiational cooling under variable cloud cover following above-average summer temperatures. Official forecasts project a daily minimum near 14°C, yet trader consensus clusters on 17–19°C, reflecting model spread, the warm seasonal anomaly (England running ~2°C above normal), and uncertainty in exact steering patterns or urban heat-island effects that could keep readings elevated. Short-range updates from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes