Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS places Munich’s August 4 maximum near 34–36 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 35 °C and 36 °C. Persistent high pressure over central Europe promotes strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while light southerly flow advects warmer continental air; however, modest uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official DWD guidance and ensemble spreads remain the key resolution inputs, with traders weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs most heavily as the event window narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 4 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 4 de agosto?
35°C 35%
36°C 28%
37°C 18%
34°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
35%
36°C
28%
37°C
18%
38°C
5%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
35°C 35%
36°C 28%
37°C 18%
34°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
30°C or below
$440 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$62 Vol.
1%
32°C
$42 Vol.
4%
33°C
$200 Vol.
4%
34°C
$374 Vol.
16%
35°C
$447 Vol.
35%
36°C
$165 Vol.
28%
37°C
$144 Vol.
18%
38°C
$103 Vol.
5%
39°C
$32 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS places Munich’s August 4 maximum near 34–36 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 35 °C and 36 °C. Persistent high pressure over central Europe promotes strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while light southerly flow advects warmer continental air; however, modest uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official DWD guidance and ensemble spreads remain the key resolution inputs, with traders weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs most heavily as the event window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$2,022Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS places Munich’s August 4 maximum near 34–36 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 35 °C and 36 °C. Persistent high pressure over central Europe promotes strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while light southerly flow advects warmer continental air; however, modest uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official DWD guidance and ensemble spreads remain the key resolution inputs, with traders weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs most heavily as the event window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,022Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS places Munich’s August 4 maximum near 34–36 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 35 °C and 36 °C. Persistent high pressure over central Europe promotes strong daytime insolation and limited cloud cover, while light southerly flow advects warmer continental air; however, modest uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could trim or boost peak readings by 1–2 °C. Official DWD guidance and ensemble spreads remain the key resolution inputs, with traders weighting the latest 00Z and 12Z runs most heavily as the event window narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes