Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow's peak temperature on August 1 will likely reach 27–28°C under typical summer high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow, supporting the market's strong consensus around 27°C. These projections align with climatological averages for early August, when daily highs commonly range 22–24°C, though localized warming from urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover could push readings slightly higher. Updated ensemble runs show low probability of exceeding 29°C absent unexpected advection of warmer air masses, while cooler outcomes below 26°C remain unlikely given current surface observations and stable synoptic patterns. Traders are weighting the next official station reports and model updates for any revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 1 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 1 de agosto?
27°C 55%
28°C 21%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
$23,616 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,616 Vol.
1 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
15%
27°C
55%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C o más
1%
27°C 55%
28°C 21%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
$23,616 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,616 Vol.
1 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$469 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$854 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$728 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,516 Vol.
1%
25°C
$898 Vol.
3%
26°C
$2,561 Vol.
15%
27°C
$3,455 Vol.
55%
28°C
$3,113 Vol.
21%
29°C
$7,215 Vol.
9%
30°C o más
$2,423 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow's peak temperature on August 1 will likely reach 27–28°C under typical summer high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow, supporting the market's strong consensus around 27°C. These projections align with climatological averages for early August, when daily highs commonly range 22–24°C, though localized warming from urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover could push readings slightly higher. Updated ensemble runs show low probability of exceeding 29°C absent unexpected advection of warmer air masses, while cooler outcomes below 26°C remain unlikely given current surface observations and stable synoptic patterns. Traders are weighting the next official station reports and model updates for any revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$23,616Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow's peak temperature on August 1 will likely reach 27–28°C under typical summer high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow, supporting the market's strong consensus around 27°C. These projections align with climatological averages for early August, when daily highs commonly range 22–24°C, though localized warming from urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover could push readings slightly higher. Updated ensemble runs show low probability of exceeding 29°C absent unexpected advection of warmer air masses, while cooler outcomes below 26°C remain unlikely given current surface observations and stable synoptic patterns. Traders are weighting the next official station reports and model updates for any revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,616Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Moscow's peak temperature on August 1 will likely reach 27–28°C under typical summer high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow, supporting the market's strong consensus around 27°C. These projections align with climatological averages for early August, when daily highs commonly range 22–24°C, though localized warming from urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover could push readings slightly higher. Updated ensemble runs show low probability of exceeding 29°C absent unexpected advection of warmer air masses, while cooler outcomes below 26°C remain unlikely given current surface observations and stable synoptic patterns. Traders are weighting the next official station reports and model updates for any revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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