Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms will likely cap Lucknow's maximum temperature on August 26 near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38.5% and 18.5% implied probability. High humidity and frequent rain suppress daytime heating compared to drier pre-monsoon conditions, while steering patterns and localized convection determine exact peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current ensemble guidance showing low risk of exceeding 34°C amid active monsoon conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside from any brief clear spells before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 26 de agosto?
32°C 36%
31°C 30%
33°C 18%
30°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
30%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 30%
33°C 18%
30°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
30%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms will likely cap Lucknow's maximum temperature on August 26 near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38.5% and 18.5% implied probability. High humidity and frequent rain suppress daytime heating compared to drier pre-monsoon conditions, while steering patterns and localized convection determine exact peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current ensemble guidance showing low risk of exceeding 34°C amid active monsoon conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside from any brief clear spells before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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