Recent June 2026 Core PCE MoM data printed at a soft 0.1%, below consensus expectations of 0.2%, establishing a low base rate that leaves room for either continued moderation or modest reacceleration in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to 0.27% for the July reading, while broader indicators such as June CPI components and early employment trends suggest mixed momentum in underlying services and goods prices. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 0.0% to 0.3% at roughly 38% each, traders are pricing in elevated uncertainty ahead of the August 26 release, where swings in shelter costs, energy passthrough, or consumer spending patterns could shift outcomes. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI and employment reports that often inform PCE revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≤-0.2% 38%
-0.1% 38%
0.0% 38%
0.1% 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
≤-0.2%
38%
-0.1%
38%
0.0%
38%
0.1%
38%
0.2%
38%
0.3%
38%
0.4%+
38%
≤-0.2% 38%
-0.1% 38%
0.0% 38%
0.1% 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
≤-0.2%
$0 Vol.
38%
-0.1%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.0%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.1%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.2%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.3%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.4%+
$0 Vol.
38%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 Core PCE MoM data printed at a soft 0.1%, below consensus expectations of 0.2%, establishing a low base rate that leaves room for either continued moderation or modest reacceleration in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to 0.27% for the July reading, while broader indicators such as June CPI components and early employment trends suggest mixed momentum in underlying services and goods prices. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 0.0% to 0.3% at roughly 38% each, traders are pricing in elevated uncertainty ahead of the August 26 release, where swings in shelter costs, energy passthrough, or consumer spending patterns could shift outcomes. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI and employment reports that often inform PCE revisions.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 Core PCE MoM data printed at a soft 0.1%, below consensus expectations of 0.2%, establishing a low base rate that leaves room for either continued moderation or modest reacceleration in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to 0.27% for the July reading, while broader indicators such as June CPI components and early employment trends suggest mixed momentum in underlying services and goods prices. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 0.0% to 0.3% at roughly 38% each, traders are pricing in elevated uncertainty ahead of the August 26 release, where swings in shelter costs, energy passthrough, or consumer spending patterns could shift outcomes. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI and employment reports that often inform PCE revisions.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 Core PCE MoM data printed at a soft 0.1%, below consensus expectations of 0.2%, establishing a low base rate that leaves room for either continued moderation or modest reacceleration in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to 0.27% for the July reading, while broader indicators such as June CPI components and early employment trends suggest mixed momentum in underlying services and goods prices. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around 0.0% to 0.3% at roughly 38% each, traders are pricing in elevated uncertainty ahead of the August 26 release, where swings in shelter costs, energy passthrough, or consumer spending patterns could shift outcomes. Key near-term catalysts include the August CPI and employment reports that often inform PCE revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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