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icon for ¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?

¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?

icon for ¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?

¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?

NUEVO
31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$4,969 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $5.00

$1,466 Vol.

6%

↑ $4.75

$70 Vol.

16%

↑ $4.50

$564 Vol.

32%

↑ $4.25

$1,121 Vol.

67%

↓ $3.90

$181 Vol.

48%

↓ $3.70

$1,327 Vol.

28%

↓ $3.50

$22 Vol.

13%

↓ $3.25

$0 Vol.

27%

↓ $3.00

$0 Vol.

25%

↓ $2.50

$218 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas prices have traded near multi-month lows around $2.76 per MMBtu amid record Lower 48 production near 110.6 billion cubic feet per day and working gas inventories 6.4% above the five-year average. A smaller-than-expected 28 bcf storage build for the week ended July 24 provided modest support, yet ample supply and softer LNG feedgas demand continue to weigh on sentiment. Cooler weather forecasts across key demand regions have further tempered power-sector consumption expectations for peak summer cooling. With the August NYMEX contract recently expiring and the next EIA storage report due shortly, traders are watching for any shift in inventory trajectories or heat-driven demand that could lift prices before month-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$4,969
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://gasprices.aaa.com/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Natural gas prices have traded near multi-month lows around $2.76 per MMBtu amid record Lower 48 production near 110.6 billion cubic feet per day and working gas inventories 6.4% above the five-year average. A smaller-than-expected 28 bcf storage build for the week ended July 24 provided modest support, yet ample supply and softer LNG feedgas demand continue to weigh on sentiment. Cooler weather forecasts across key demand regions have further tempered power-sector consumption expectations for peak summer cooling. With the August NYMEX contract recently expiring and the next EIA storage report due shortly, traders are watching for any shift in inventory trajectories or heat-driven demand that could lift prices before month-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$4,969
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://gasprices.aaa.com/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "↑ $4.25" con 67%, seguido de "↓ $3.90" con 48%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 67¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?" es "↑ $4.25" con 67%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 67% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "↓ $3.90" con 48%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Llegará el gas a __ a finales de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.