Recent Eurozone GDP data and forward indicators point to moderate quarterly expansion amid lingering uncertainties, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 37-38% across the listed growth bands. Q2 2026 growth came in at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—above the 0.2% consensus—following a revised contraction in Q1, while annual growth reached 1.0%. July 2026 economic sentiment rose to 96.9, aided by a provisional Iran-US agreement easing energy price pressures, though inflation remains elevated near 2.9% and the ECB has held its deposit rate at 2.25% after a June hike. Analysts' full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 0.8-1.0%, reflecting resilient domestic demand offset by trade and geopolitical risks. Key near-term catalysts include August PMI releases and August 18 GDP revisions that could shift probabilities among the contested ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.4-0.7% 38%
0.8-1.1% 38%
1.2-1.5% 38%
<0.0% 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
38%
0.0-0.3%
38%
0.4-0.7%
38%
0.8-1.1%
38%
1.2-1.5%
38%
1.6-1.9%
38%
2.0%+
38%
0.4-0.7% 38%
0.8-1.1% 38%
1.2-1.5% 38%
<0.0% 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.0-0.3%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.4-0.7%
$0 Vol.
38%
0.8-1.1%
$0 Vol.
38%
1.2-1.5%
$0 Vol.
38%
1.6-1.9%
$0 Vol.
38%
2.0%+
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone GDP data and forward indicators point to moderate quarterly expansion amid lingering uncertainties, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 37-38% across the listed growth bands. Q2 2026 growth came in at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—above the 0.2% consensus—following a revised contraction in Q1, while annual growth reached 1.0%. July 2026 economic sentiment rose to 96.9, aided by a provisional Iran-US agreement easing energy price pressures, though inflation remains elevated near 2.9% and the ECB has held its deposit rate at 2.25% after a June hike. Analysts' full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 0.8-1.0%, reflecting resilient domestic demand offset by trade and geopolitical risks. Key near-term catalysts include August PMI releases and August 18 GDP revisions that could shift probabilities among the contested ranges.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone GDP data and forward indicators point to moderate quarterly expansion amid lingering uncertainties, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 37-38% across the listed growth bands. Q2 2026 growth came in at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—above the 0.2% consensus—following a revised contraction in Q1, while annual growth reached 1.0%. July 2026 economic sentiment rose to 96.9, aided by a provisional Iran-US agreement easing energy price pressures, though inflation remains elevated near 2.9% and the ECB has held its deposit rate at 2.25% after a June hike. Analysts' full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 0.8-1.0%, reflecting resilient domestic demand offset by trade and geopolitical risks. Key near-term catalysts include August PMI releases and August 18 GDP revisions that could shift probabilities among the contested ranges.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurozone GDP data and forward indicators point to moderate quarterly expansion amid lingering uncertainties, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 37-38% across the listed growth bands. Q2 2026 growth came in at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter—above the 0.2% consensus—following a revised contraction in Q1, while annual growth reached 1.0%. July 2026 economic sentiment rose to 96.9, aided by a provisional Iran-US agreement easing energy price pressures, though inflation remains elevated near 2.9% and the ECB has held its deposit rate at 2.25% after a June hike. Analysts' full-year 2026 forecasts cluster near 0.8-1.0%, reflecting resilient domestic demand offset by trade and geopolitical risks. Key near-term catalysts include August PMI releases and August 18 GDP revisions that could shift probabilities among the contested ranges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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