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icon for Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?
Technik·AI

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?

icon for Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?
Technik·AI

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?

Okt. 1

Nov. 1

Dez. 1

Okt. 1

Nov. 1

Dez. 1

Xiaomi 36%

OpenAI 26%

Alibaba 25%

Amazon 24%

Polymarket
NEU

Xiaomi 36%

OpenAI 26%

Alibaba 25%

Amazon 24%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$36 Vol.

36%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$70 Vol.

26%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$50 Vol.

25%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$38 Vol.

24%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$50 Vol.

24%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$50 Vol.

24%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$38 Vol.

24%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$70 Vol.

23%

icon for Google

Google

$50 Vol.

23%

icon for Meta

Meta

$38 Vol.

14%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$38 Vol.

14%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$38 Vol.

14%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$38 Vol.

14%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$38 Vol.

13%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$38 Vol.

12%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$38 Vol.

12%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$50 Vol.

8%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$38 Vol.

8%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$38 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent September 2026 model releases have fragmented the AI agent landscape, with no single leader ahead of the November deadline. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 lead long-horizon autonomy and Terminal-Bench scores, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra excels on ARC-AGI, ExploitBench, and computer-use tasks; its new Agents API further boosts practical deployment via managed multi-agent workflows and sandboxes. Open-weight contenders from Z.ai (GLM), DeepSeek, and Alibaba (Qwen) post competitive agentic benchmarks at lower cost, sustaining trader parity. Safety coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google adds regulatory uncertainty, keeping implied probabilities closely matched across labs.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$843
Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent September 2026 model releases have fragmented the AI agent landscape, with no single leader ahead of the November deadline. Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 lead long-horizon autonomy and Terminal-Bench scores, while OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra excels on ARC-AGI, ExploitBench, and computer-use tasks; its new Agents API further boosts practical deployment via managed multi-agent workflows and sandboxes. Open-weight contenders from Z.ai (GLM), DeepSeek, and Alibaba (Qwen) post competitive agentic benchmarks at lower cost, sustaining trader parity. Safety coordination among OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google adds regulatory uncertainty, keeping implied probabilities closely matched across labs.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$843
Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?

83%
icon for Wird Anthropic Ende November 2026 das zweitbeste AI-Agenten-Labor sein?

Wird Anthropic Ende November 2026 das zweitbeste AI-Agenten-Labor sein?

36%
Ja
icon for Wird Moonshot Ende November 2026 das drittbeste KI-Agenten-Labor sein?

Wird Moonshot Ende November 2026 das drittbeste KI-Agenten-Labor sein?

49%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 19 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Xiaomi" mit 36%, gefolgt von „OpenAI" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 36¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 19 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?" ist „Xiaomi" mit 36%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „OpenAI" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November den besten KI-Agenten?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.