Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$145,480 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
17. September
1%
20. September
8%
24. September
62%
27. September
75%
30. September
81%
31. Oktober
98%
31. Dezember
98%
$145,480 Vol.
17. September
$9,059 Vol.
1%
20. September
$4,382 Vol.
8%
24. September
$3,712 Vol.
62%
27. September
$2,865 Vol.
75%
30. September
$65,483 Vol.
81%
31. Oktober
$13,502 Vol.
98%
31. Dezember
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volumen
$145,480Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$145,480Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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