Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic midsize model yet with gains in reasoning, tool use, coding, and autonomous task handling, sets the baseline for the next release timeline. Sonnet 5 delivers performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost and became the default across plans, following Sonnet 4.6’s February update and 4.5’s September 2025 debut. Traders track Anthropic’s roughly quarterly cadence amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and Google’s Gemini models, plus internal focus on agentic capabilities and pricing. Key near-term signals include any developer conference announcements, API updates, or shifts in release patterns observed with recent Opus 5 and specialized variants like Fable and Mythos in 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächstes Claude Sonnet veröffentlicht von...?
Nächstes Claude Sonnet veröffentlicht von...?
$12,018 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
50%
31. Oktober
80%
31. Dezember
97%
$12,018 Vol.
30. September
$112 Vol.
50%
31. Oktober
$4,416 Vol.
80%
31. Dezember
$3,751 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic midsize model yet with gains in reasoning, tool use, coding, and autonomous task handling, sets the baseline for the next release timeline. Sonnet 5 delivers performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost and became the default across plans, following Sonnet 4.6’s February update and 4.5’s September 2025 debut. Traders track Anthropic’s roughly quarterly cadence amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and Google’s Gemini models, plus internal focus on agentic capabilities and pricing. Key near-term signals include any developer conference announcements, API updates, or shifts in release patterns observed with recent Opus 5 and specialized variants like Fable and Mythos in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Volumen
$12,018Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic midsize model yet with gains in reasoning, tool use, coding, and autonomous task handling, sets the baseline for the next release timeline. Sonnet 5 delivers performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost and became the default across plans, following Sonnet 4.6’s February update and 4.5’s September 2025 debut. Traders track Anthropic’s roughly quarterly cadence amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and Google’s Gemini models, plus internal focus on agentic capabilities and pricing. Key near-term signals include any developer conference announcements, API updates, or shifts in release patterns observed with recent Opus 5 and specialized variants like Fable and Mythos in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$12,018Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5, positioned as its most agentic midsize model yet with gains in reasoning, tool use, coding, and autonomous task handling, sets the baseline for the next release timeline. Sonnet 5 delivers performance close to Opus 4.8 at lower cost and became the default across plans, following Sonnet 4.6’s February update and 4.5’s September 2025 debut. Traders track Anthropic’s roughly quarterly cadence amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and Google’s Gemini models, plus internal focus on agentic capabilities and pricing. Key near-term signals include any developer conference announcements, API updates, or shifts in release patterns observed with recent Opus 5 and specialized variants like Fable and Mythos in 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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