Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier large language model to date—with strong gains in tool use, autonomous planning, coding benchmarks, and near-Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost—sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet. The pattern of Sonnet updates every four to six months, following Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 in September 2025, points to a likely window in late 2026 or early 2027, though recent emphasis on Opus 5, Fable 5.1, and Mythos variants in July and September has shifted some development focus. Competitive pressure from frequent OpenAI and Google model drops, plus Anthropic’s safety and export-control considerations, add uncertainty around exact timing while underscoring demand for cheaper, capable agentic systems.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächstes Claude Sonnet veröffentlicht von...?
Nächstes Claude Sonnet veröffentlicht von...?
$11,998 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
50%
31. Oktober
80%
31. Dezember
98%
$11,998 Vol.
30. September
$92 Vol.
50%
31. Oktober
$4,416 Vol.
80%
31. Dezember
$3,751 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier large language model to date—with strong gains in tool use, autonomous planning, coding benchmarks, and near-Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost—sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet. The pattern of Sonnet updates every four to six months, following Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 in September 2025, points to a likely window in late 2026 or early 2027, though recent emphasis on Opus 5, Fable 5.1, and Mythos variants in July and September has shifted some development focus. Competitive pressure from frequent OpenAI and Google model drops, plus Anthropic’s safety and export-control considerations, add uncertainty around exact timing while underscoring demand for cheaper, capable agentic systems.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
Volumen
$11,998Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier large language model to date—with strong gains in tool use, autonomous planning, coding benchmarks, and near-Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost—sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet. The pattern of Sonnet updates every four to six months, following Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 in September 2025, points to a likely window in late 2026 or early 2027, though recent emphasis on Opus 5, Fable 5.1, and Mythos variants in July and September has shifted some development focus. Competitive pressure from frequent OpenAI and Google model drops, plus Anthropic’s safety and export-control considerations, add uncertainty around exact timing while underscoring demand for cheaper, capable agentic systems.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$11,998Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s release of Claude Sonnet 5 on June 30, 2026, as its most agentic mid-tier large language model to date—with strong gains in tool use, autonomous planning, coding benchmarks, and near-Opus 4.8 performance at lower cost—sets the baseline for trader expectations on the next Sonnet. The pattern of Sonnet updates every four to six months, following Sonnet 4.6 in February and 4.5 in September 2025, points to a likely window in late 2026 or early 2027, though recent emphasis on Opus 5, Fable 5.1, and Mythos variants in July and September has shifted some development focus. Competitive pressure from frequent OpenAI and Google model drops, plus Anthropic’s safety and export-control considerations, add uncertainty around exact timing while underscoring demand for cheaper, capable agentic systems.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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