DeepSeek commands a 93.1% implied probability in this Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus around its recent leadership in OpenRouter token volume. The lab’s V4 Flash models have driven the highest weekly usage through low-cost inference and strong results on agentic and high-volume workloads, outpacing competitors like OpenAI and Z.ai in developer routing data. Chinese open-weight models broadly gained share in 2026 on price and capability parity for many tasks. A late-week surge by Tencent’s Hy4 preview or Z.ai’s GLM series, or any capacity constraints at DeepSeek, could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDeepSeek 93.3%
Nvidia 5.5%
Tencent 5.5%
Qwen 1%

DeepSeek
93%

Nvidia
6%

Tencent
5%

Qwen
1%

Z.ai
1%

OpenAI
1%

Anthropic
1%

xAI
1%

MiniMax
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

1%
DeepSeek 93.3%
Nvidia 5.5%
Tencent 5.5%
Qwen 1%

DeepSeek
93%

Nvidia
6%

Tencent
5%

Qwen
1%

Z.ai
1%

OpenAI
1%

Anthropic
1%

xAI
1%

MiniMax
1%

Meta
1%

Xiaomi
1%

1%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...DeepSeek commands a 93.1% implied probability in this Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus around its recent leadership in OpenRouter token volume. The lab’s V4 Flash models have driven the highest weekly usage through low-cost inference and strong results on agentic and high-volume workloads, outpacing competitors like OpenAI and Z.ai in developer routing data. Chinese open-weight models broadly gained share in 2026 on price and capability parity for many tasks. A late-week surge by Tencent’s Hy4 preview or Z.ai’s GLM series, or any capacity constraints at DeepSeek, could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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