Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, released October 15, 2025, remains the current fast-tier model as of early September 2026, delivering Sonnet 4-level coding and agent performance at $1/$5 per million tokens while the Claude 5 family (Sonnet 5, Opus 5, Fable 5.1, Mythos 5.1) rolled out from May through September without a Haiku counterpart. This gap reflects Anthropic’s pattern of prioritizing higher-capability releases before refreshing the lightweight tier, leaving traders focused on whether a Haiku 5 or 4.6 update will follow the recent Fable/Mythos refinements or await a broader 6-series cycle. Key near-term signals include any Anthropic developer events or API roadmap updates that could clarify timing for extended thinking, larger context, or pricing adjustments in the speed-optimized model.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächster Claude Haiku entlassen von...?
Nächster Claude Haiku entlassen von...?
NEU
15. Okt. 2026
15. Oktober
47%
31. Oktober
55%
31. Dezember
59%
$9,078 Vol.
15. Oktober
$0 Vol.
47%
31. Oktober
$937 Vol.
55%
31. Dezember
$4,389 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, released October 15, 2025, remains the current fast-tier model as of early September 2026, delivering Sonnet 4-level coding and agent performance at $1/$5 per million tokens while the Claude 5 family (Sonnet 5, Opus 5, Fable 5.1, Mythos 5.1) rolled out from May through September without a Haiku counterpart. This gap reflects Anthropic’s pattern of prioritizing higher-capability releases before refreshing the lightweight tier, leaving traders focused on whether a Haiku 5 or 4.6 update will follow the recent Fable/Mythos refinements or await a broader 6-series cycle. Key near-term signals include any Anthropic developer events or API roadmap updates that could clarify timing for extended thinking, larger context, or pricing adjustments in the speed-optimized model.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Volumen
$9,078Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, released October 15, 2025, remains the current fast-tier model as of early September 2026, delivering Sonnet 4-level coding and agent performance at $1/$5 per million tokens while the Claude 5 family (Sonnet 5, Opus 5, Fable 5.1, Mythos 5.1) rolled out from May through September without a Haiku counterpart. This gap reflects Anthropic’s pattern of prioritizing higher-capability releases before refreshing the lightweight tier, leaving traders focused on whether a Haiku 5 or 4.6 update will follow the recent Fable/Mythos refinements or await a broader 6-series cycle. Key near-term signals include any Anthropic developer events or API roadmap updates that could clarify timing for extended thinking, larger context, or pricing adjustments in the speed-optimized model.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,078Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, released October 15, 2025, remains the current fast-tier model as of early September 2026, delivering Sonnet 4-level coding and agent performance at $1/$5 per million tokens while the Claude 5 family (Sonnet 5, Opus 5, Fable 5.1, Mythos 5.1) rolled out from May through September without a Haiku counterpart. This gap reflects Anthropic’s pattern of prioritizing higher-capability releases before refreshing the lightweight tier, leaving traders focused on whether a Haiku 5 or 4.6 update will follow the recent Fable/Mythos refinements or await a broader 6-series cycle. Key near-term signals include any Anthropic developer events or API roadmap updates that could clarify timing for extended thinking, larger context, or pricing adjustments in the speed-optimized model.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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