Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a post-heat cooldown over northern France, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds favoring radiational cooling overnight into August 7. This setup supports minimum temperatures centered near 12–14 °C in the Paris basin, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 12 °C (46.5 %) and 13 °C (25 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Official minimum forecasts currently cluster around 14 °C, yet traders appear to price in a modest downside risk from stronger nocturnal cooling. The next high-resolution model runs and the final Météo-France bulletin ahead of sunset on August 6 represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 7. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 7. August?
12°C 47%
13°C 25%
11°C 18%
14°C 9%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
9°C oder darunter
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
18%
12°C
47%
13°C
25%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 47%
13°C 25%
11°C 18%
14°C 9%
NEU
NEU
7. Aug. 2026
9°C oder darunter
$146 Vol.
1%
10°C
$84 Vol.
4%
11°C
$110 Vol.
18%
12°C
$340 Vol.
47%
13°C
$160 Vol.
25%
14°C
$46 Vol.
9%
15°C
$403 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,168 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$714 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$736 Vol.
<1%
19°C oder höher
$760 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a post-heat cooldown over northern France, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds favoring radiational cooling overnight into August 7. This setup supports minimum temperatures centered near 12–14 °C in the Paris basin, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 12 °C (46.5 %) and 13 °C (25 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Official minimum forecasts currently cluster around 14 °C, yet traders appear to price in a modest downside risk from stronger nocturnal cooling. The next high-resolution model runs and the final Météo-France bulletin ahead of sunset on August 6 represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,666Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a post-heat cooldown over northern France, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds favoring radiational cooling overnight into August 7. This setup supports minimum temperatures centered near 12–14 °C in the Paris basin, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 12 °C (46.5 %) and 13 °C (25 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Official minimum forecasts currently cluster around 14 °C, yet traders appear to price in a modest downside risk from stronger nocturnal cooling. The next high-resolution model runs and the final Météo-France bulletin ahead of sunset on August 6 represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,666Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models highlight a post-heat cooldown over northern France, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds favoring radiational cooling overnight into August 7. This setup supports minimum temperatures centered near 12–14 °C in the Paris basin, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 12 °C (46.5 %) and 13 °C (25 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Official minimum forecasts currently cluster around 14 °C, yet traders appear to price in a modest downside risk from stronger nocturnal cooling. The next high-resolution model runs and the final Météo-France bulletin ahead of sunset on August 6 represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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