Japan's ongoing summer heatwave, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and southerly warm-air advection, underpins trader focus on 32–33°C for Tokyo's August 6 maximum. Seasonal outlooks from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures through mid-August, consistent with recent model runs showing daily highs near 30–34°C amid high humidity and urban heat-island amplification. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and small differences in steering winds, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied while capping odds for extremes below 30°C or above 34°C. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 6. August?
32°C 36%
33°C 32%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
36%
33°C
32%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
33°C 32%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$22 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18 Vol.
1%
28°C
$69 Vol.
1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
3%
30°C
$45 Vol.
4%
31°C
$30 Vol.
18%
32°C
$72 Vol.
36%
33°C
$107 Vol.
32%
34°C
$325 Vol.
10%
35°C
$14 Vol.
3%
36°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan's ongoing summer heatwave, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and southerly warm-air advection, underpins trader focus on 32–33°C for Tokyo's August 6 maximum. Seasonal outlooks from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures through mid-August, consistent with recent model runs showing daily highs near 30–34°C amid high humidity and urban heat-island amplification. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and small differences in steering winds, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied while capping odds for extremes below 30°C or above 34°C. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$741Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan's ongoing summer heatwave, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and southerly warm-air advection, underpins trader focus on 32–33°C for Tokyo's August 6 maximum. Seasonal outlooks from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures through mid-August, consistent with recent model runs showing daily highs near 30–34°C amid high humidity and urban heat-island amplification. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and small differences in steering winds, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied while capping odds for extremes below 30°C or above 34°C. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$741Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan's ongoing summer heatwave, driven by a strengthened Pacific High promoting subsidence and southerly warm-air advection, underpins trader focus on 32–33°C for Tokyo's August 6 maximum. Seasonal outlooks from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate above-normal temperatures through mid-August, consistent with recent model runs showing daily highs near 30–34°C amid high humidity and urban heat-island amplification. Minor forecast spreads arise from variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and small differences in steering winds, keeping the two leading outcomes nearly tied while capping odds for extremes below 30°C or above 34°C. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen