Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models indicate a cooldown on August 6 following an early-week heatwave driven by a hot air mass from Africa, with Paris expected to see largely sunny to partly cloudy skies and afternoon highs near 26°C. Trader consensus clusters around 25–26°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the exact arrival of cooler Atlantic air can shift maximum temperatures by 1°C within the typical 1–2°C uncertainty range of ensemble forecasts. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C provide context, while ongoing model runs will refine steering patterns and any residual instability ahead of the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 6. August?
25°C 36%
26°C 29%
24°C 19%
27°C 14%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C
29%
27°C
14%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 29%
24°C 19%
27°C 14%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
36%
26°C
29%
27°C
14%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and other models indicate a cooldown on August 6 following an early-week heatwave driven by a hot air mass from Africa, with Paris expected to see largely sunny to partly cloudy skies and afternoon highs near 26°C. Trader consensus clusters around 25–26°C because small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the exact arrival of cooler Atlantic air can shift maximum temperatures by 1°C within the typical 1–2°C uncertainty range of ensemble forecasts. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C provide context, while ongoing model runs will refine steering patterns and any residual instability ahead of the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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