Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on August 6 near 15–17°C and driving the 43% implied probability on 15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under largely clear, high-pressure conditions favors minimums around seasonal norms of 14–16°C rather than the warmer readings seen earlier in the week. Ensemble models show limited spread, with steering patterns keeping Atlantic influences modest and no strong warm advection expected before dawn. Traders are weighting the confirmed cooldown and stable forecast trends, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the final minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 6. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 6. August?
15°C 43%
16°C 23%
14°C 18%
17°C 12%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
9%
13°C
10%
14°C
18%
15°C
43%
16°C
23%
17°C
12%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20 °C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C oder höher
2%
15°C 43%
16°C 23%
14°C 18%
17°C 12%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$10 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
12%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20 °C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on August 6 near 15–17°C and driving the 43% implied probability on 15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under largely clear, high-pressure conditions favors minimums around seasonal norms of 14–16°C rather than the warmer readings seen earlier in the week. Ensemble models show limited spread, with steering patterns keeping Atlantic influences modest and no strong warm advection expected before dawn. Traders are weighting the confirmed cooldown and stable forecast trends, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the final minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$10Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on August 6 near 15–17°C and driving the 43% implied probability on 15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under largely clear, high-pressure conditions favors minimums around seasonal norms of 14–16°C rather than the warmer readings seen earlier in the week. Ensemble models show limited spread, with steering patterns keeping Atlantic influences modest and no strong warm advection expected before dawn. Traders are weighting the confirmed cooldown and stable forecast trends, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the final minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooler air mass arriving over northern France, positioning the lowest temperature in Paris on August 6 near 15–17°C and driving the 43% implied probability on 15°C. Overnight radiative cooling under largely clear, high-pressure conditions favors minimums around seasonal norms of 14–16°C rather than the warmer readings seen earlier in the week. Ensemble models show limited spread, with steering patterns keeping Atlantic influences modest and no strong warm advection expected before dawn. Traders are weighting the confirmed cooldown and stable forecast trends, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the final minimum across the 14–16°C thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen