Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo point to mostly cloudy skies on August 6, which would limit radiative cooling overnight and support minimum temperatures near 24–26 °C. Persistent summer high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat-island effect keep nighttime readings well above the seasonal 23.9 °C climatological normal while reducing the chance of sharper drops. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, explaining why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and any late changes in cloud cover or wind will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 6. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 6. August?
25°C 47%
26°C 43%
24°C 12%
29°C 10%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
12%
25°C
47%
26°C
43%
27°C
9%
28°C
8%
29°C
10%
30°C oder höher
6%
25°C 47%
26°C 43%
24°C 12%
29°C 10%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
43%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$14 Vol.
8%
29°C
$27 Vol.
10%
30°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo point to mostly cloudy skies on August 6, which would limit radiative cooling overnight and support minimum temperatures near 24–26 °C. Persistent summer high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat-island effect keep nighttime readings well above the seasonal 23.9 °C climatological normal while reducing the chance of sharper drops. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, explaining why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and any late changes in cloud cover or wind will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$41Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo point to mostly cloudy skies on August 6, which would limit radiative cooling overnight and support minimum temperatures near 24–26 °C. Persistent summer high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat-island effect keep nighttime readings well above the seasonal 23.9 °C climatological normal while reducing the chance of sharper drops. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, explaining why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and any late changes in cloud cover or wind will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo point to mostly cloudy skies on August 6, which would limit radiative cooling overnight and support minimum temperatures near 24–26 °C. Persistent summer high pressure, elevated humidity, and the urban heat-island effect keep nighttime readings well above the seasonal 23.9 °C climatological normal while reducing the chance of sharper drops. Ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, explaining why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and any late changes in cloud cover or wind will be the key data points traders monitor before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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