Recent JMA and international forecasts for Tokyo point to a minimum near 23°C on August 5 amid persistent summer humidity and expected cloud cover with possible showers, which limit radiative cooling while moderating the urban heat island effect. Typical early-August overnight lows average 24–26°C under the strengthened Pacific High, but current model runs favor slightly cooler readings due to increased moisture and reduced sunshine. Traders have concentrated probability on 22–23°C outcomes, aligning with these guidance trends and the narrow historical range for the date. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 5. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 5. August?
23°C 57%
22°C 36%
24°C 5%
21°C 2%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
36%
23°C
57%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 57%
22°C 36%
24°C 5%
21°C 2%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
18°C oder niedriger
$150 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$177 Vol.
1%
20°C
$190 Vol.
1%
21°C
$122 Vol.
2%
22°C
$529 Vol.
36%
23°C
$732 Vol.
57%
24°C
$359 Vol.
5%
25°C
$331 Vol.
2%
26°C
$362 Vol.
1%
27°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
28°C oder höher
$173 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA and international forecasts for Tokyo point to a minimum near 23°C on August 5 amid persistent summer humidity and expected cloud cover with possible showers, which limit radiative cooling while moderating the urban heat island effect. Typical early-August overnight lows average 24–26°C under the strengthened Pacific High, but current model runs favor slightly cooler readings due to increased moisture and reduced sunshine. Traders have concentrated probability on 22–23°C outcomes, aligning with these guidance trends and the narrow historical range for the date. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$3,276Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA and international forecasts for Tokyo point to a minimum near 23°C on August 5 amid persistent summer humidity and expected cloud cover with possible showers, which limit radiative cooling while moderating the urban heat island effect. Typical early-August overnight lows average 24–26°C under the strengthened Pacific High, but current model runs favor slightly cooler readings due to increased moisture and reduced sunshine. Traders have concentrated probability on 22–23°C outcomes, aligning with these guidance trends and the narrow historical range for the date. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,276Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA and international forecasts for Tokyo point to a minimum near 23°C on August 5 amid persistent summer humidity and expected cloud cover with possible showers, which limit radiative cooling while moderating the urban heat island effect. Typical early-August overnight lows average 24–26°C under the strengthened Pacific High, but current model runs favor slightly cooler readings due to increased moisture and reduced sunshine. Traders have concentrated probability on 22–23°C outcomes, aligning with these guidance trends and the narrow historical range for the date. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing will likely refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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