Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Chengdu’s August 5 high reflects ensemble forecasts showing peak values near 34.4°C (94°F) under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. Key differentiators include the precise timing and coverage of convective rain, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C if showers arrive before peak heating, versus limited cloud breaks that allow greater solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin’s humid, low-wind environment. High dew points near 25°C amplify the urban heat island effect around the urban core, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow creates the tight probability distribution between the two leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 5. August?
35°C or higher 38%
34°C 32%
33°C 19%
32°C 9%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
19%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
38%
35°C or higher 38%
34°C 32%
33°C 19%
32°C 9%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$668 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$435 Vol.
2%
31°C
$388 Vol.
5%
32°C
$517 Vol.
9%
33°C
$357 Vol.
19%
34°C
$2,590 Vol.
32%
35°C or higher
$645 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Chengdu’s August 5 high reflects ensemble forecasts showing peak values near 34.4°C (94°F) under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. Key differentiators include the precise timing and coverage of convective rain, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C if showers arrive before peak heating, versus limited cloud breaks that allow greater solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin’s humid, low-wind environment. High dew points near 25°C amplify the urban heat island effect around the urban core, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow creates the tight probability distribution between the two leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$6,940Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Chengdu’s August 5 high reflects ensemble forecasts showing peak values near 34.4°C (94°F) under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. Key differentiators include the precise timing and coverage of convective rain, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C if showers arrive before peak heating, versus limited cloud breaks that allow greater solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin’s humid, low-wind environment. High dew points near 25°C amplify the urban heat island effect around the urban core, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow creates the tight probability distribution between the two leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,940Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 34–35°C for Chengdu’s August 5 high reflects ensemble forecasts showing peak values near 34.4°C (94°F) under mostly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms. Key differentiators include the precise timing and coverage of convective rain, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C if showers arrive before peak heating, versus limited cloud breaks that allow greater solar insolation in the Sichuan Basin’s humid, low-wind environment. High dew points near 25°C amplify the urban heat island effect around the urban core, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and steering flow creates the tight probability distribution between the two leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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