**Recent model consensus and an expanding European heat dome are the main drivers positioning 30–33°C as the most probable outcomes for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 3.** Ensemble guidance from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates daytime maxima near or slightly above 30°C (around 84–87°F), well above the early-August climatological average of 21–23°C. A blocking high-pressure system is promoting subsidence, clearer skies, and southerly or southeasterly flow that advects warmer continental air northward, reducing cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating. While some operational runs (e.g., BBC, Met Office) currently favor closer to 29°C, upward revisions in high-resolution guidance and the broader heatwave context across the Benelux have shifted trader sentiment toward the upper end of the 29–34°C range. With resolution just two days away, the next model cycles and any adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speed will be the key variables that could nudge implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 3. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 3. August?
32°C 39%
31°C 22%
30°C 18%
33°C 17%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
27°C oder niedriger
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
39%
33°C
17%
34°C
10%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 22%
30°C 18%
33°C 17%
NEU
NEU
3. Aug. 2026
27°C oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$6 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$0 Vol.
18%
31°C
$8 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
39%
33°C
$77 Vol.
17%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C
$45 Vol.
8%
36°C
$15 Vol.
1%
37°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and an expanding European heat dome are the main drivers positioning 30–33°C as the most probable outcomes for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 3.** Ensemble guidance from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates daytime maxima near or slightly above 30°C (around 84–87°F), well above the early-August climatological average of 21–23°C. A blocking high-pressure system is promoting subsidence, clearer skies, and southerly or southeasterly flow that advects warmer continental air northward, reducing cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating. While some operational runs (e.g., BBC, Met Office) currently favor closer to 29°C, upward revisions in high-resolution guidance and the broader heatwave context across the Benelux have shifted trader sentiment toward the upper end of the 29–34°C range. With resolution just two days away, the next model cycles and any adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speed will be the key variables that could nudge implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$165Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and an expanding European heat dome are the main drivers positioning 30–33°C as the most probable outcomes for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 3.** Ensemble guidance from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates daytime maxima near or slightly above 30°C (around 84–87°F), well above the early-August climatological average of 21–23°C. A blocking high-pressure system is promoting subsidence, clearer skies, and southerly or southeasterly flow that advects warmer continental air northward, reducing cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating. While some operational runs (e.g., BBC, Met Office) currently favor closer to 29°C, upward revisions in high-resolution guidance and the broader heatwave context across the Benelux have shifted trader sentiment toward the upper end of the 29–34°C range. With resolution just two days away, the next model cycles and any adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speed will be the key variables that could nudge implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$165Enddatum
3. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus and an expanding European heat dome are the main drivers positioning 30–33°C as the most probable outcomes for Amsterdam's highest temperature on August 3.** Ensemble guidance from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather indicates daytime maxima near or slightly above 30°C (around 84–87°F), well above the early-August climatological average of 21–23°C. A blocking high-pressure system is promoting subsidence, clearer skies, and southerly or southeasterly flow that advects warmer continental air northward, reducing cloud cover and enhancing daytime heating. While some operational runs (e.g., BBC, Met Office) currently favor closer to 29°C, upward revisions in high-resolution guidance and the broader heatwave context across the Benelux have shifted trader sentiment toward the upper end of the 29–34°C range. With resolution just two days away, the next model cycles and any adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speed will be the key variables that could nudge implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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