Recent forecast models from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a peak of 36–37°C in Milan on August 1 under clear skies, light winds, and persistent high pressure, positioning these as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 97%. Above-average seasonal warmth from a stable subtropical ridge has driven temperatures several degrees above the 30°C August norm, with hourly data showing rapid daytime rises toward midday maxima. Minor model spreads around afternoon peaks and urban heat-island effects keep 35°C as a close contender, while probabilities for 38°C or higher remain low absent unexpected advection shifts. Updated guidance through the resolution window will refine these trader-assessed outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 1. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 1. August?
36°C 62%
35°C 37%
37°C 2.9%
34°C 1.9%
NEU
$39,219 Vol.
NEU
$39,219 Vol.
1. Aug. 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
37%
36°C
62%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 62%
35°C 37%
37°C 2.9%
34°C 1.9%
NEU
$39,219 Vol.
NEU
$39,219 Vol.
1. Aug. 2026
33°C or below
$2,408 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,856 Vol.
2%
35°C
$9,066 Vol.
37%
36°C
$6,299 Vol.
62%
37°C
$6,348 Vol.
3%
38°C
$4,054 Vol.
1%
39°C
$905 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$513 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a peak of 36–37°C in Milan on August 1 under clear skies, light winds, and persistent high pressure, positioning these as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 97%. Above-average seasonal warmth from a stable subtropical ridge has driven temperatures several degrees above the 30°C August norm, with hourly data showing rapid daytime rises toward midday maxima. Minor model spreads around afternoon peaks and urban heat-island effects keep 35°C as a close contender, while probabilities for 38°C or higher remain low absent unexpected advection shifts. Updated guidance through the resolution window will refine these trader-assessed outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$39,219Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a peak of 36–37°C in Milan on August 1 under clear skies, light winds, and persistent high pressure, positioning these as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 97%. Above-average seasonal warmth from a stable subtropical ridge has driven temperatures several degrees above the 30°C August norm, with hourly data showing rapid daytime rises toward midday maxima. Minor model spreads around afternoon peaks and urban heat-island effects keep 35°C as a close contender, while probabilities for 38°C or higher remain low absent unexpected advection shifts. Updated guidance through the resolution window will refine these trader-assessed outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$39,219Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate a peak of 36–37°C in Milan on August 1 under clear skies, light winds, and persistent high pressure, positioning these as the market leaders with combined implied probability exceeding 97%. Above-average seasonal warmth from a stable subtropical ridge has driven temperatures several degrees above the 30°C August norm, with hourly data showing rapid daytime rises toward midday maxima. Minor model spreads around afternoon peaks and urban heat-island effects keep 35°C as a close contender, while probabilities for 38°C or higher remain low absent unexpected advection shifts. Updated guidance through the resolution window will refine these trader-assessed outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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