Current forecasts from major models indicate a daily maximum near 26–27°C for Mexico City on August 2, driven by typical early-August subtropical high pressure and seasonal moisture influx from the Mexican monsoon. Afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers, already evident in recent satellite and radar trends, are expected to limit peak heating while maintaining mild overnight lows around 12–14°C. Historical climatology places early August averages near 22–24°C, but recent multi-day runs from global ensembles show modest warming from clearer morning conditions and slightly elevated 850 hPa temperatures. Trader consensus around the 26–27°C brackets reflects this narrow spread in guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity that could shave 1–2°C from the high if earlier or heavier than modeled. Updated NWS and local service runs tomorrow morning will provide the final calibration.