Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for Wellington on August 1, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 11°C under typical winter high-pressure influences and southerly flow patterns that limit warming. This aligns with climatological baselines showing August highs averaging 12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks favoring near-average temperatures for the region. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability reflects these model runs and observational trends, though minor deviations remain possible if cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized urban heat effects alter the peak reading by a degree. Updated forecasts through the day will determine final verification against the exact maximum recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 1. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 1. August?
11°C 97%
12°C 1.5%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
NEU
$128,893 Vol.
NEU
$128,893 Vol.
1. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
97%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 97%
12°C 1.5%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
NEU
$128,893 Vol.
NEU
$128,893 Vol.
1. Aug. 2026
5°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$639 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$3,954 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$12,387 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$21,375 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$44,631 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$18,172 Vol.
97%
12°C
$10,151 Vol.
1%
13°C
$6,404 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$8,416 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$2,399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for Wellington on August 1, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 11°C under typical winter high-pressure influences and southerly flow patterns that limit warming. This aligns with climatological baselines showing August highs averaging 12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks favoring near-average temperatures for the region. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability reflects these model runs and observational trends, though minor deviations remain possible if cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized urban heat effects alter the peak reading by a degree. Updated forecasts through the day will determine final verification against the exact maximum recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$128,893Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for Wellington on August 1, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 11°C under typical winter high-pressure influences and southerly flow patterns that limit warming. This aligns with climatological baselines showing August highs averaging 12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks favoring near-average temperatures for the region. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability reflects these model runs and observational trends, though minor deviations remain possible if cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized urban heat effects alter the peak reading by a degree. Updated forecasts through the day will determine final verification against the exact maximum recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$128,893Enddatum
1. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and NIWA for Wellington on August 1, 2026, indicate a daily maximum near 11°C under typical winter high-pressure influences and southerly flow patterns that limit warming. This aligns with climatological baselines showing August highs averaging 12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks favoring near-average temperatures for the region. Trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability reflects these model runs and observational trends, though minor deviations remain possible if cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized urban heat effects alter the peak reading by a degree. Updated forecasts through the day will determine final verification against the exact maximum recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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