A ridge of high pressure over New Zealand’s North Island on August 2 supports mostly fine, stable conditions for Wellington, favoring daytime warming under clearer skies and lighter winds compared to typical winter westerly flows. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to a maximum around 12°C, with some runs indicating potential for 13°C if solar heating peaks amid the anticyclonic setup. This positions the 13°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 31.5%, reflecting the narrow range expected in the absence of significant frontal activity or cloud cover. Historical August averages near 12°C provide baseline context, while the current benign pattern reduces downside risk for lower readings. Updated forecast runs and any late model shifts before resolution will be key variables for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 2. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 2. August?
13°C 56%
12°C 32%
14°C 10%
15°C 3%
NEU
$15,210 Vol.
NEU
$15,210 Vol.
2. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
32%
13°C
56%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 32%
14°C 10%
15°C 3%
NEU
$15,210 Vol.
NEU
$15,210 Vol.
2. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,430 Vol.
3%
12°C
$2,957 Vol.
32%
13°C
$2,787 Vol.
56%
14°C
$2,423 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,464 Vol.
3%
16°C or higher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A ridge of high pressure over New Zealand’s North Island on August 2 supports mostly fine, stable conditions for Wellington, favoring daytime warming under clearer skies and lighter winds compared to typical winter westerly flows. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to a maximum around 12°C, with some runs indicating potential for 13°C if solar heating peaks amid the anticyclonic setup. This positions the 13°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 31.5%, reflecting the narrow range expected in the absence of significant frontal activity or cloud cover. Historical August averages near 12°C provide baseline context, while the current benign pattern reduces downside risk for lower readings. Updated forecast runs and any late model shifts before resolution will be key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$15,210Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A ridge of high pressure over New Zealand’s North Island on August 2 supports mostly fine, stable conditions for Wellington, favoring daytime warming under clearer skies and lighter winds compared to typical winter westerly flows. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to a maximum around 12°C, with some runs indicating potential for 13°C if solar heating peaks amid the anticyclonic setup. This positions the 13°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 31.5%, reflecting the narrow range expected in the absence of significant frontal activity or cloud cover. Historical August averages near 12°C provide baseline context, while the current benign pattern reduces downside risk for lower readings. Updated forecast runs and any late model shifts before resolution will be key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,210Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...A ridge of high pressure over New Zealand’s North Island on August 2 supports mostly fine, stable conditions for Wellington, favoring daytime warming under clearer skies and lighter winds compared to typical winter westerly flows. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to a maximum around 12°C, with some runs indicating potential for 13°C if solar heating peaks amid the anticyclonic setup. This positions the 13°C outcome as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 12°C at 31.5%, reflecting the narrow range expected in the absence of significant frontal activity or cloud cover. Historical August averages near 12°C provide baseline context, while the current benign pattern reduces downside risk for lower readings. Updated forecast runs and any late model shifts before resolution will be key variables for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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