Recent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models indicate a daily high near 20–22°C for Helsinki on August 2, driven by mild southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This places the market-implied probabilities—led by 22°C at 51%— squarely within the narrow ensemble spread, reflecting typical early-August conditions where highs rarely stray far from the 19–21°C climatological baseline without strong high-pressure buildup or cold-air advection. Minor upward revisions in some global guidance support the secondary 23°C odds at 26.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 1 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Helsinki am 2. August?
22°C 51%
23°C 27%
21°C 20%
24°C 4%
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
20%
22°C
51%
23°C
27%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
22°C 51%
23°C 27%
21°C 20%
24°C 4%
17°C oder niedriger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
20%
22°C
51%
23°C
27%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models indicate a daily high near 20–22°C for Helsinki on August 2, driven by mild southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This places the market-implied probabilities—led by 22°C at 51%— squarely within the narrow ensemble spread, reflecting typical early-August conditions where highs rarely stray far from the 19–21°C climatological baseline without strong high-pressure buildup or cold-air advection. Minor upward revisions in some global guidance support the secondary 23°C odds at 26.5%, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 1 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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