Trader consensus favors a 28°C daily minimum in Shanghai on August 2, reflecting model guidance and long-term August climatology that places typical overnight lows between 25–27°C amid persistent summer heat and humidity. Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological centers show limited cooling potential from monsoon influences or cloud cover, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 27–29°C while assigning low probability to extremes below 26°C or above 30°C. Historical records indicate early-August minima rarely deviate more than 2–3°C from these values absent major weather system shifts, supporting the market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. August?
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 18%
26°C 8%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
24%
28°C
49%
29°C
18%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 18%
26°C 8%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
$254 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
2%
26°C
$249 Vol.
8%
27°C
$851 Vol.
24%
28°C
$1,803 Vol.
49%
29°C
$291 Vol.
18%
30°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$223 Vol.
1%
32°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
33°C oder höher
$409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 28°C daily minimum in Shanghai on August 2, reflecting model guidance and long-term August climatology that places typical overnight lows between 25–27°C amid persistent summer heat and humidity. Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological centers show limited cooling potential from monsoon influences or cloud cover, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 27–29°C while assigning low probability to extremes below 26°C or above 30°C. Historical records indicate early-August minima rarely deviate more than 2–3°C from these values absent major weather system shifts, supporting the market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,865Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 28°C daily minimum in Shanghai on August 2, reflecting model guidance and long-term August climatology that places typical overnight lows between 25–27°C amid persistent summer heat and humidity. Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological centers show limited cooling potential from monsoon influences or cloud cover, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 27–29°C while assigning low probability to extremes below 26°C or above 30°C. Historical records indicate early-August minima rarely deviate more than 2–3°C from these values absent major weather system shifts, supporting the market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,865Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 28°C daily minimum in Shanghai on August 2, reflecting model guidance and long-term August climatology that places typical overnight lows between 25–27°C amid persistent summer heat and humidity. Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological centers show limited cooling potential from monsoon influences or cloud cover, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 27–29°C while assigning low probability to extremes below 26°C or above 30°C. Historical records indicate early-August minima rarely deviate more than 2–3°C from these values absent major weather system shifts, supporting the market-implied odds. Updated model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24 hours represent the primary near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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