Recent heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by persistent high pressure and Saharan air advection, underpin trader focus on Madrid's August 2 peak temperature. Official forecasts and ensemble models indicate afternoon highs most likely reaching 36–37 °C under clear skies and light winds, with limited cooling overnight. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle shifts in the thermal ridge. Historical August baselines near 32 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, while AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24 hours could refine resolution criteria around observed maximums at Retiro station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 2. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 2. August?
36°C 49%
37°C 42%
35°C 6%
38°C 6%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
32°C oder darunter
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C
49%
37°C
42%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
36°C 49%
37°C 42%
35°C 6%
38°C 6%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
32°C oder darunter
$535 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$277 Vol.
1%
34°C
$560 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,038 Vol.
6%
36°C
$1,937 Vol.
49%
37°C
$1,980 Vol.
42%
38°C
$328 Vol.
6%
39°C
$401 Vol.
1%
40°C
$342 Vol.
1%
41°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
42°C oder höher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by persistent high pressure and Saharan air advection, underpin trader focus on Madrid's August 2 peak temperature. Official forecasts and ensemble models indicate afternoon highs most likely reaching 36–37 °C under clear skies and light winds, with limited cooling overnight. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle shifts in the thermal ridge. Historical August baselines near 32 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, while AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24 hours could refine resolution criteria around observed maximums at Retiro station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$7,816Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by persistent high pressure and Saharan air advection, underpin trader focus on Madrid's August 2 peak temperature. Official forecasts and ensemble models indicate afternoon highs most likely reaching 36–37 °C under clear skies and light winds, with limited cooling overnight. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle shifts in the thermal ridge. Historical August baselines near 32 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, while AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24 hours could refine resolution criteria around observed maximums at Retiro station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,816Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by persistent high pressure and Saharan air advection, underpin trader focus on Madrid's August 2 peak temperature. Official forecasts and ensemble models indicate afternoon highs most likely reaching 36–37 °C under clear skies and light winds, with limited cooling overnight. The narrow spread between the two leading outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle shifts in the thermal ridge. Historical August baselines near 32 °C underscore the anomalous warmth, while AEMET and ECMWF updates expected in the next 24 hours could refine resolution criteria around observed maximums at Retiro station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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