Forecast models from the Met Office and others indicate predominantly sunny, high-pressure conditions over southern England on August 2, supporting daytime maxima centered on 26–28°C and positioning 27°C as the modal outcome. Persistent anticyclonic patterns this summer, combined with elevated North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, have sustained above-average warmth, while an emerging El Niño adds a modest global temperature boost. Light winds and clear skies limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating, though any unexpected frontal activity could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Traders assign limited probability to 29°C or higher given the absence of strong southerly flow, aligning with climatological norms for early August in London.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 2. August?
27°C 51%
26°C 24%
28°C 24%
25°C 5%
$18,786 Vol.
$18,786 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
51%
28°C
24%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 24%
28°C 24%
25°C 5%
$18,786 Vol.
$18,786 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
51%
28°C
24%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and others indicate predominantly sunny, high-pressure conditions over southern England on August 2, supporting daytime maxima centered on 26–28°C and positioning 27°C as the modal outcome. Persistent anticyclonic patterns this summer, combined with elevated North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, have sustained above-average warmth, while an emerging El Niño adds a modest global temperature boost. Light winds and clear skies limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating, though any unexpected frontal activity could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Traders assign limited probability to 29°C or higher given the absence of strong southerly flow, aligning with climatological norms for early August in London.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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