Latest European model consensus, including ECMWF ensembles and KNMI guidance, centers Amsterdam's August 2 maximum near 26–27°C at Schiphol, driven by moderate high pressure, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits efficient daytime solar heating while North Sea moderation caps extremes. Traders have assigned roughly 69% combined probability to these two outcomes because ensemble spreads show low likelihood of significant deviations from this late-summer pattern. Differentiation between 26°C and 27°C hinges on subtle variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, exact timing of any thin cirrus, or minor forecast adjustments in surface pressure gradients; 28°C would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence not currently favored. Updated short-range runs tomorrow will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 2. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 2. August?
27°C 37%
26°C 33%
28°C 17%
25°C 14%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
21°C oder weniger
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
33%
27°C
37%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
1%
27°C 37%
26°C 33%
28°C 17%
25°C 14%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
21°C oder weniger
$349 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$493 Vol.
1%
24°C
$531 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,109 Vol.
14%
26°C
$765 Vol.
33%
27°C
$830 Vol.
37%
28°C
$1,762 Vol.
17%
29°C
$473 Vol.
2%
30°C
$440 Vol.
1%
31°C oder höher
$385 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model consensus, including ECMWF ensembles and KNMI guidance, centers Amsterdam's August 2 maximum near 26–27°C at Schiphol, driven by moderate high pressure, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits efficient daytime solar heating while North Sea moderation caps extremes. Traders have assigned roughly 69% combined probability to these two outcomes because ensemble spreads show low likelihood of significant deviations from this late-summer pattern. Differentiation between 26°C and 27°C hinges on subtle variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, exact timing of any thin cirrus, or minor forecast adjustments in surface pressure gradients; 28°C would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence not currently favored. Updated short-range runs tomorrow will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$7,557Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model consensus, including ECMWF ensembles and KNMI guidance, centers Amsterdam's August 2 maximum near 26–27°C at Schiphol, driven by moderate high pressure, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits efficient daytime solar heating while North Sea moderation caps extremes. Traders have assigned roughly 69% combined probability to these two outcomes because ensemble spreads show low likelihood of significant deviations from this late-summer pattern. Differentiation between 26°C and 27°C hinges on subtle variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, exact timing of any thin cirrus, or minor forecast adjustments in surface pressure gradients; 28°C would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence not currently favored. Updated short-range runs tomorrow will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,557Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European model consensus, including ECMWF ensembles and KNMI guidance, centers Amsterdam's August 2 maximum near 26–27°C at Schiphol, driven by moderate high pressure, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that permits efficient daytime solar heating while North Sea moderation caps extremes. Traders have assigned roughly 69% combined probability to these two outcomes because ensemble spreads show low likelihood of significant deviations from this late-summer pattern. Differentiation between 26°C and 27°C hinges on subtle variables such as boundary-layer mixing depth, exact timing of any thin cirrus, or minor forecast adjustments in surface pressure gradients; 28°C would require stronger subsidence or reduced marine influence not currently favored. Updated short-range runs tomorrow will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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