Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers forecast for Shenzhen on August 3 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 28–30°C. Official model consensus shows overcast skies and thunderstorms limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, consistent with current patterns of monsoon moisture and suppressed highs several degrees below August climatology near 32°C. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, boundary-layer humidity, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Traders weigh updated numerical weather prediction runs and regional observations, noting that modest shifts in steering flow or convective timing could tip resolution between 28°C and 30°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 3. August?
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 25%
27°C 9%
23°C oder darunter
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
25%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C oder höher
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 25%
27°C 9%
23°C oder darunter
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
25%
29°C
32%
30°C
25%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers forecast for Shenzhen on August 3 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 28–30°C. Official model consensus shows overcast skies and thunderstorms limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, consistent with current patterns of monsoon moisture and suppressed highs several degrees below August climatology near 32°C. Differentiation among the leading bins hinges on exact timing and intensity of rainfall, boundary-layer humidity, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Traders weigh updated numerical weather prediction runs and regional observations, noting that modest shifts in steering flow or convective timing could tip resolution between 28°C and 30°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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