Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 5. August?
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
27°C 22%
24°C 5%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
35%
26°C
35%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
27°C 22%
24°C 5%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$57 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$62 Vol.
1%
23°C
$47 Vol.
2%
24°C
$253 Vol.
5%
25°C
$257 Vol.
35%
26°C
$183 Vol.
35%
27°C
$334 Vol.
22%
28°C
$35 Vol.
5%
29°C
$312 Vol.
1%
30°C
$57 Vol.
1%
31°C oder höher
$43 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,638Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,638Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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