Current short-range forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies on August 6, supporting daytime maxima near 36–37 °C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, northerly wind components, and exact cloud timing can shift the peak by 1 °C, explaining the tight 44.5 % / 35 % split between those two outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical highs at 32–34 °C, so any departure from the modeled subsidence or an unexpected moisture surge would favor lower bins. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for trader repositioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 6. August?
37°C 47%
36°C 35%
38°C 13%
35°C 7%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
33°C oder niedriger
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C
35%
37°C
47%
38°C
13%
39°C
3%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C oder höher
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 35%
38°C 13%
35°C 7%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
33°C oder niedriger
$10 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$34 Vol.
35%
37°C
$62 Vol.
47%
38°C
$0 Vol.
13%
39°C
$12 Vol.
3%
40°C
$37 Vol.
4%
41°C
$75 Vol.
1%
42°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
43°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies on August 6, supporting daytime maxima near 36–37 °C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, northerly wind components, and exact cloud timing can shift the peak by 1 °C, explaining the tight 44.5 % / 35 % split between those two outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical highs at 32–34 °C, so any departure from the modeled subsidence or an unexpected moisture surge would favor lower bins. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for trader repositioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$240Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies on August 6, supporting daytime maxima near 36–37 °C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, northerly wind components, and exact cloud timing can shift the peak by 1 °C, explaining the tight 44.5 % / 35 % split between those two outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical highs at 32–34 °C, so any departure from the modeled subsidence or an unexpected moisture surge would favor lower bins. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for trader repositioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$240Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from agencies like AEMET and ECMWF show Madrid under stable high pressure with mostly clear skies on August 6, supporting daytime maxima near 36–37 °C. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, northerly wind components, and exact cloud timing can shift the peak by 1 °C, explaining the tight 44.5 % / 35 % split between those two outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical highs at 32–34 °C, so any departure from the modeled subsidence or an unexpected moisture surge would favor lower bins. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for trader repositioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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