**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Taipei on August 8 favoring 32°C or above (51% implied probability) reflects typical early-August climatology combined with current model guidance.** Taipei's summer baseline, driven by the East Asian monsoon and urban heat island effects, routinely produces daytime maxima of 32–34°C under weak steering flow and high humidity exceeding 75%. Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble guidance show no strong typhoon or frontal intrusion through the weekend that would suppress temperatures below this range, though scattered convection could locally limit peaks. Historical analogs indicate that without a significant tropical disturbance, readings near or above 32°C occur on roughly half of early-August days. Updated CWA forecasts and high-resolution model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 8. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 8. August?
32°C or higher 51%
31°C 23%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
23%
32°C or higher
51%
32°C or higher 51%
31°C 23%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
NEU
NEU
8. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$22 Vol.
1%
27°C
$22 Vol.
1%
28°C
$22 Vol.
1%
29°C
$545 Vol.
10%
30°C
$3 Vol.
16%
31°C
$11 Vol.
23%
32°C or higher
$331 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Taipei on August 8 favoring 32°C or above (51% implied probability) reflects typical early-August climatology combined with current model guidance.** Taipei's summer baseline, driven by the East Asian monsoon and urban heat island effects, routinely produces daytime maxima of 32–34°C under weak steering flow and high humidity exceeding 75%. Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble guidance show no strong typhoon or frontal intrusion through the weekend that would suppress temperatures below this range, though scattered convection could locally limit peaks. Historical analogs indicate that without a significant tropical disturbance, readings near or above 32°C occur on roughly half of early-August days. Updated CWA forecasts and high-resolution model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,279Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Taipei on August 8 favoring 32°C or above (51% implied probability) reflects typical early-August climatology combined with current model guidance.** Taipei's summer baseline, driven by the East Asian monsoon and urban heat island effects, routinely produces daytime maxima of 32–34°C under weak steering flow and high humidity exceeding 75%. Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble guidance show no strong typhoon or frontal intrusion through the weekend that would suppress temperatures below this range, though scattered convection could locally limit peaks. Historical analogs indicate that without a significant tropical disturbance, readings near or above 32°C occur on roughly half of early-August days. Updated CWA forecasts and high-resolution model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,279Enddatum
8. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the highest temperature in Taipei on August 8 favoring 32°C or above (51% implied probability) reflects typical early-August climatology combined with current model guidance.** Taipei's summer baseline, driven by the East Asian monsoon and urban heat island effects, routinely produces daytime maxima of 32–34°C under weak steering flow and high humidity exceeding 75%. Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble guidance show no strong typhoon or frontal intrusion through the weekend that would suppress temperatures below this range, though scattered convection could locally limit peaks. Historical analogs indicate that without a significant tropical disturbance, readings near or above 32°C occur on roughly half of early-August days. Updated CWA forecasts and high-resolution model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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