Recent model consensus from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to peak temperatures near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 6 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects that amplify daytime maxima above the 34.2°C August climatological mean. High humidity and variable cloud cover introduce forecast spread, with any afternoon showers or sea-breeze influences potentially capping readings at 35°C while clear conditions favor 36°C. Developing El Niño conditions and warm western Pacific sea-surface temperatures support elevated baseline warmth, though steering patterns that could bring typhoon remnants add uncertainty two days out. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with upcoming high-resolution model runs and official CWA updates likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 6. August?
35°C 32%
36°C 29%
34°C 19%
33°C 9%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
19%
35°C
32%
36°C
29%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
7%
35°C 32%
36°C 29%
34°C 19%
33°C 9%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$459 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$508 Vol.
2%
32°C
$22 Vol.
4%
33°C
$25 Vol.
9%
34°C
$0 Vol.
19%
35°C
$101 Vol.
32%
36°C
$758 Vol.
29%
37°C
$9 Vol.
6%
38°C or higher
$15 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to peak temperatures near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 6 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects that amplify daytime maxima above the 34.2°C August climatological mean. High humidity and variable cloud cover introduce forecast spread, with any afternoon showers or sea-breeze influences potentially capping readings at 35°C while clear conditions favor 36°C. Developing El Niño conditions and warm western Pacific sea-surface temperatures support elevated baseline warmth, though steering patterns that could bring typhoon remnants add uncertainty two days out. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with upcoming high-resolution model runs and official CWA updates likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,917Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to peak temperatures near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 6 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects that amplify daytime maxima above the 34.2°C August climatological mean. High humidity and variable cloud cover introduce forecast spread, with any afternoon showers or sea-breeze influences potentially capping readings at 35°C while clear conditions favor 36°C. Developing El Niño conditions and warm western Pacific sea-surface temperatures support elevated baseline warmth, though steering patterns that could bring typhoon remnants add uncertainty two days out. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with upcoming high-resolution model runs and official CWA updates likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,917Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to peak temperatures near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 6 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects that amplify daytime maxima above the 34.2°C August climatological mean. High humidity and variable cloud cover introduce forecast spread, with any afternoon showers or sea-breeze influences potentially capping readings at 35°C while clear conditions favor 36°C. Developing El Niño conditions and warm western Pacific sea-surface temperatures support elevated baseline warmth, though steering patterns that could bring typhoon remnants add uncertainty two days out. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with upcoming high-resolution model runs and official CWA updates likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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