Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 4 project a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with possible afternoon thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features highs typically near 32–34°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and high humidity, while a strengthening El Niño has supported above-average baseline temperatures across the region this summer. Model consensus and recent days' observations, including a 36°C peak on August 1, underscore modest upside risk captured in the 19.5% odds for 36°C. Resolution hinges on verified station readings before any cutoff, with intraday updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine trader sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 4. August?
35°C 93%
36°C 6%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$26,873 Vol.
$26,873 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
29°C oder weniger
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
93%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C oder höher
<1%
35°C 93%
36°C 6%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$26,873 Vol.
$26,873 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
29°C oder weniger
$307 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,513 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,661 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5,318 Vol.
93%
36°C
$3,450 Vol.
6%
37°C
$4,315 Vol.
1%
38°C
$3,517 Vol.
<1%
39°C oder höher
$3,323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 4 project a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with possible afternoon thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features highs typically near 32–34°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and high humidity, while a strengthening El Niño has supported above-average baseline temperatures across the region this summer. Model consensus and recent days' observations, including a 36°C peak on August 1, underscore modest upside risk captured in the 19.5% odds for 36°C. Resolution hinges on verified station readings before any cutoff, with intraday updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$26,873Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 4 project a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with possible afternoon thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features highs typically near 32–34°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and high humidity, while a strengthening El Niño has supported above-average baseline temperatures across the region this summer. Model consensus and recent days' observations, including a 36°C peak on August 1, underscore modest upside risk captured in the 19.5% odds for 36°C. Resolution hinges on verified station readings before any cutoff, with intraday updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$26,873Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 4 project a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with possible afternoon thundershowers, aligning closely with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology features highs typically near 32–34°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and high humidity, while a strengthening El Niño has supported above-average baseline temperatures across the region this summer. Model consensus and recent days' observations, including a 36°C peak on August 1, underscore modest upside risk captured in the 19.5% odds for 36°C. Resolution hinges on verified station readings before any cutoff, with intraday updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine trader sentiment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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