Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record highs like 42.5°C observed recently and widespread heatwave warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), position mid-30s Celsius as the leading outcomes for Incheon’s August 6 maximum. Official short-range forecasts and model consensus indicate daytime highs near 34–35°C under clear skies and stable high-pressure patterns typical of late summer, while noting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this, with 35°C at 41.5% implied probability and adjacent bins capturing most remaining volume, as recent data shifts from sustained upper-30s readings reduce odds of lower thresholds. Upcoming KMA updates and regional observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 6. August?
35°C 43%
34°C 29%
36°C 20%
33°C 8%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
29%
35°C
43%
36°C
20%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 43%
34°C 29%
36°C 20%
33°C 8%
NEU
NEU
6. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$119 Vol.
1%
30°C
$117 Vol.
1%
31°C
$97 Vol.
1%
32°C
$99 Vol.
3%
33°C
$83 Vol.
8%
34°C
$188 Vol.
29%
35°C
$623 Vol.
43%
36°C
$205 Vol.
20%
37°C or higher
$180 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record highs like 42.5°C observed recently and widespread heatwave warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), position mid-30s Celsius as the leading outcomes for Incheon’s August 6 maximum. Official short-range forecasts and model consensus indicate daytime highs near 34–35°C under clear skies and stable high-pressure patterns typical of late summer, while noting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this, with 35°C at 41.5% implied probability and adjacent bins capturing most remaining volume, as recent data shifts from sustained upper-30s readings reduce odds of lower thresholds. Upcoming KMA updates and regional observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,222Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record highs like 42.5°C observed recently and widespread heatwave warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), position mid-30s Celsius as the leading outcomes for Incheon’s August 6 maximum. Official short-range forecasts and model consensus indicate daytime highs near 34–35°C under clear skies and stable high-pressure patterns typical of late summer, while noting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this, with 35°C at 41.5% implied probability and adjacent bins capturing most remaining volume, as recent data shifts from sustained upper-30s readings reduce odds of lower thresholds. Upcoming KMA updates and regional observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,222Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with record highs like 42.5°C observed recently and widespread heatwave warnings from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), position mid-30s Celsius as the leading outcomes for Incheon’s August 6 maximum. Official short-range forecasts and model consensus indicate daytime highs near 34–35°C under clear skies and stable high-pressure patterns typical of late summer, while noting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this, with 35°C at 41.5% implied probability and adjacent bins capturing most remaining volume, as recent data shifts from sustained upper-30s readings reduce odds of lower thresholds. Upcoming KMA updates and regional observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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