The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to dominate Metro Manila with cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probabilities near 90% on August 24, limiting daytime heating while trapping heat overnight through reduced radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance points to minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with historical monsoon patterns that suppress both extremes. Trader consensus clusters around this range because forecast model spreads hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while distant tropical systems add minor steering uncertainty. New PAGASA briefings and updated model runs will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 24. August?
31°C oder höher 73%
29°C 51%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
21°C oder darunter
1%
22°C
16%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
51%
30°C
12%
31°C oder höher
73%
31°C oder höher 73%
29°C 51%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
21°C oder darunter
1%
22°C
16%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
51%
30°C
12%
31°C oder höher
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to dominate Metro Manila with cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high rainfall probabilities near 90% on August 24, limiting daytime heating while trapping heat overnight through reduced radiative cooling. Official PAGASA guidance points to minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 24–26°C under these conditions, consistent with historical monsoon patterns that suppress both extremes. Trader consensus clusters around this range because forecast model spreads hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C, while distant tropical systems add minor steering uncertainty. New PAGASA briefings and updated model runs will clarify these variables ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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