**Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's maximum temperature on August 24 centered near 30–32°C.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate widespread cloud cover and scattered rain showers or thunderstorms, which limit surface heating despite the season's typical insolation. Recent observations show a 31.5°C peak on August 23, while climatological August highs average near 31°C; the combination of high humidity, moderate southwest winds, and convective activity creates a narrow range where 31°C leads market-implied odds at 35%. Traders are weighting the balance between occasional breaks of sun that could push readings to 32°C and stronger monsoon rains favoring 30°C or lower. Updated PAGASA bulletins and early-morning model runs on the 24th will provide the final resolution inputs before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 24. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 24. August?
31°C 35%
30°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 8%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
22%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C oder höher
2%
31°C 35%
30°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 8%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
24°C oder darunter
$9 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$85 Vol.
1%
28°C
$142 Vol.
3%
29°C
$75 Vol.
8%
30°C
$411 Vol.
22%
31°C
$751 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,419 Vol.
22%
33°C
$892 Vol.
6%
34°C oder höher
$302 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's maximum temperature on August 24 centered near 30–32°C.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate widespread cloud cover and scattered rain showers or thunderstorms, which limit surface heating despite the season's typical insolation. Recent observations show a 31.5°C peak on August 23, while climatological August highs average near 31°C; the combination of high humidity, moderate southwest winds, and convective activity creates a narrow range where 31°C leads market-implied odds at 35%. Traders are weighting the balance between occasional breaks of sun that could push readings to 32°C and stronger monsoon rains favoring 30°C or lower. Updated PAGASA bulletins and early-morning model runs on the 24th will provide the final resolution inputs before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$4,221Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's maximum temperature on August 24 centered near 30–32°C.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate widespread cloud cover and scattered rain showers or thunderstorms, which limit surface heating despite the season's typical insolation. Recent observations show a 31.5°C peak on August 23, while climatological August highs average near 31°C; the combination of high humidity, moderate southwest winds, and convective activity creates a narrow range where 31°C leads market-implied odds at 35%. Traders are weighting the balance between occasional breaks of sun that could push readings to 32°C and stronger monsoon rains favoring 30°C or lower. Updated PAGASA bulletins and early-morning model runs on the 24th will provide the final resolution inputs before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,221Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon is the main driver keeping Manila's maximum temperature on August 24 centered near 30–32°C.** Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate widespread cloud cover and scattered rain showers or thunderstorms, which limit surface heating despite the season's typical insolation. Recent observations show a 31.5°C peak on August 23, while climatological August highs average near 31°C; the combination of high humidity, moderate southwest winds, and convective activity creates a narrow range where 31°C leads market-implied odds at 35%. Traders are weighting the balance between occasional breaks of sun that could push readings to 32°C and stronger monsoon rains favoring 30°C or lower. Updated PAGASA bulletins and early-morning model runs on the 24th will provide the final resolution inputs before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen