Manila's late-August climate, shaped by the southwest monsoon or habagat, typically produces daytime maxima near 30–32°C with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress extreme heating. PAGASA outlooks and long-term averages from sources like AccuWeather align with this range for August 23, 2026, supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability for a 32°C high. This consensus reflects traders' assessment of model guidance and historical precedent rather than outlier conditions. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected breaks in monsoon cloudiness or stronger insolation, potentially pushing readings to 33°C or higher, though current steering patterns and rainfall probabilities make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 23. August?
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
25°C oder niedriger <1%
26°C <1%
$25,069 Vol.
$25,069 Vol.
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
25°C oder niedriger <1%
26°C <1%
$25,069 Vol.
$25,069 Vol.
25°C oder niedriger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Manila's late-August climate, shaped by the southwest monsoon or habagat, typically produces daytime maxima near 30–32°C with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress extreme heating. PAGASA outlooks and long-term averages from sources like AccuWeather align with this range for August 23, 2026, supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability for a 32°C high. This consensus reflects traders' assessment of model guidance and historical precedent rather than outlier conditions. A realistic shift could occur only with unexpected breaks in monsoon cloudiness or stronger insolation, potentially pushing readings to 33°C or higher, though current steering patterns and rainfall probabilities make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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