Recent forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place Manila's overnight minimum for August 23 between 24–27°C under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling overnight. These dynamics align with the city's tropical monsoon climatology, where August baseline lows average 24–26°C and rarely drop below 23°C without clear, dry conditions. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the day's lowest reading, reflecting expectations that persistent moisture and limited nocturnal temperature drops will keep the minimum at the upper end of model guidance, while lower outcomes like 25–26°C retain secondary probability amid any brief clearing. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 23. August?
28°C 91%
23°C 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
21°C oder weniger
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 91%
23°C 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
21°C oder weniger
$120 Vol.
1%
22°C
$131 Vol.
1%
23°C
$74 Vol.
28%
24°C
$87 Vol.
17%
25°C
$12 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$97 Vol.
73%
29°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C oder höher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place Manila's overnight minimum for August 23 between 24–27°C under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling overnight. These dynamics align with the city's tropical monsoon climatology, where August baseline lows average 24–26°C and rarely drop below 23°C without clear, dry conditions. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the day's lowest reading, reflecting expectations that persistent moisture and limited nocturnal temperature drops will keep the minimum at the upper end of model guidance, while lower outcomes like 25–26°C retain secondary probability amid any brief clearing. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$1,131Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place Manila's overnight minimum for August 23 between 24–27°C under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling overnight. These dynamics align with the city's tropical monsoon climatology, where August baseline lows average 24–26°C and rarely drop below 23°C without clear, dry conditions. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the day's lowest reading, reflecting expectations that persistent moisture and limited nocturnal temperature drops will keep the minimum at the upper end of model guidance, while lower outcomes like 25–26°C retain secondary probability amid any brief clearing. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,131Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and AccuWeather place Manila's overnight minimum for August 23 between 24–27°C under the southwest monsoon, or habagat, which sustains high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling overnight. These dynamics align with the city's tropical monsoon climatology, where August baseline lows average 24–26°C and rarely drop below 23°C without clear, dry conditions. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the day's lowest reading, reflecting expectations that persistent moisture and limited nocturnal temperature drops will keep the minimum at the upper end of model guidance, while lower outcomes like 25–26°C retain secondary probability amid any brief clearing. Upcoming PAGASA updates and real-time observations will refine these implied probabilities as the day progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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